Oxford · College Offer Data

Trinity Mathematics Offer Rate at Oxford (2026 Entry)

Trinity sits among a competitive college for Mathematics at Oxford. Our model puts the Trinity Mathematics offer rate at around 8.8%, about 1.5pp below the Oxford Mathematics average of 10.3%. The course runs at 9.6 applications per place across Oxford in the latest cycle (2025). Strong applicants tend to score TMUA 7.0–8.5 on the new 1.0–9.0 scale.

Modelled offer rate8.8%Course base rate 10.3% × college effect 0.85x. From Oxford Undergraduate Admissions Statistics (2025 cycle) + college-level multipliers in our public dataset.
Applications per place
9.6
University average offer rate
10.3%
College multiplier
0.85x
Successful TMUA range
7.0–8.5
Place / application yield
9.5%
Interview-to-offer conversion
33%

How Trinity compares

By contrast, Regent's Park Mathematics sits at around 14.4% — 5.7pp higher than Trinity. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.

TMUA score to target

For Trinity Mathematics, plan for TMUA in the 7.0–8.5 band on the 1.0–9.0 scale. The college applicant pool is still competitive, sitting in the upper half of the published TMUA range.

Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.

Turn the target into a plan

Find your current gap, then choose how to close it.

Take the free diagnostic for a weak-skill breakdown. TMUA Pro then gives you 1,000+ original questions, 6 mocks and the Paper 2 Logic course for £149 today.

14-day refund. Score guarantee conditions are published at /guarantee.

What actually decides the offer

TMUA score is the dominant shortlisting filter. Without ~6.5+ TMUA you are very unlikely to be invited to interview. After interview, ~33% of shortlisted applicants receive an offer.

Common reasons applicants get rejected

  • TMUA below shortlist threshold (~6.5+ predicted post-MAT transition)
  • Not taking Further Maths A-level (94-97% of UK shortlisted applicants do)
  • GCSE profile far below shortlist mean of 8+ at grade 9/8
  • Interview performance failing to demonstrate independent thinking
  • Application from already-saturated college (Worcester, Magdalen) without strong contextual case

See your full offer probability

Add your grades and TMUA to the calculator. Pre-filled for Trinity Mathematics, takes about 60 seconds.

Run my profile