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Oxford · College Offer Data
Somerville sits among one of the less oversubscribed colleges for Mathematics at Oxford. Our model puts the Somerville Mathematics offer rate at around 11.3%, about 1.0pp above the Oxford Mathematics average of 10.3%. The course runs at 9.6 applications per place across Oxford in the latest cycle (2025). Strong applicants tend to score TMUA 6.5–8.0 on the new 1.0–9.0 scale.
By contrast, Worcester Mathematics sits at around 5.7% — 5.7pp lower than Somerville. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.
For Somerville Mathematics, plan for TMUA in the 6.5–8.0 band on the 1.0–9.0 scale. The college applicant pool is slightly less competitive, so the lower end of the published range becomes achievable.
Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.
TMUA score is the dominant shortlisting filter. Without ~6.5+ TMUA you are very unlikely to be invited to interview. After interview, ~33% of shortlisted applicants receive an offer.
Add your grades and TMUA to the calculator. Pre-filled for Somerville Mathematics, takes about 60 seconds.
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