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Oxford · College Offer Data
Oriel sits among a middle-of-the-pack college for Mathematics at Oxford. Our model puts the Oriel Mathematics offer rate at around 10.8%, about 0.5pp above the Oxford Mathematics average of 10.3%. The course runs at 9.6 applications per place across Oxford in the latest cycle (2025). Strong applicants tend to score TMUA 6.5–8.5 on the new 1.0–9.0 scale.
By contrast, Worcester Mathematics sits at around 5.7% — 5.1pp lower than Oriel. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.
For Oriel Mathematics, plan for TMUA in the 6.5–8.5 band on the 1.0–9.0 scale. The college applicant pool is broadly representative of the university average.
Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.
TMUA score is the dominant shortlisting filter. Without ~6.5+ TMUA you are very unlikely to be invited to interview. After interview, ~33% of shortlisted applicants receive an offer.
Add your grades and TMUA to the calculator. Pre-filled for Oriel Mathematics, takes about 60 seconds.
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