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Oxford · College Offer Data
Merton sits among one of the toughest colleges for Mathematics at Oxford. Our model puts the Merton Mathematics offer rate at around 8.0%, about 2.3pp below the Oxford Mathematics average of 10.3%. The course runs at 9.6 applications per place across Oxford in the latest cycle (2025). Strong applicants tend to score TMUA 7.5–8.5 on the new 1.0–9.0 scale.
By contrast, Regent's Park Mathematics sits at around 14.4% — 6.4pp higher than Merton. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.
For Merton Mathematics, plan for TMUA in the 7.5–8.5 band on the 1.0–9.0 scale. The college applicant pool is self-selected, so the applicant pool sits at the top of the published range.
Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.
TMUA score is the dominant shortlisting filter. Without ~6.5+ TMUA you are very unlikely to be invited to interview. After interview, ~33% of shortlisted applicants receive an offer.
Add your grades and TMUA to the calculator. Pre-filled for Merton Mathematics, takes about 60 seconds.
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