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Oxford · College Offer Data
Lincoln sits among a middle-of-the-pack college for Mathematics at Oxford. Our model puts the Lincoln Mathematics offer rate at around 9.8%, roughly in line with the Oxford Mathematics average of 10.3%. The course runs at 9.6 applications per place across Oxford in the latest cycle (2025). Strong applicants tend to score TMUA 6.5–8.5 on the new 1.0–9.0 scale.
By contrast, Regent's Park Mathematics sits at around 14.4% — 4.6pp higher than Lincoln. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.
For Lincoln Mathematics, plan for TMUA in the 6.5–8.5 band on the 1.0–9.0 scale. The college applicant pool is broadly representative of the university average.
Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.
TMUA score is the dominant shortlisting filter. Without ~6.5+ TMUA you are very unlikely to be invited to interview. After interview, ~33% of shortlisted applicants receive an offer.
Add your grades and TMUA to the calculator. Pre-filled for Lincoln Mathematics, takes about 60 seconds.
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