Oxford · College Offer Data

Keble Mathematics Offer Rate at Oxford (2026 Entry)

Keble sits among a middle-of-the-pack college for Mathematics at Oxford. Our model puts the Keble Mathematics offer rate at around 9.8%, roughly in line with the Oxford Mathematics average of 10.3%. The course runs at 9.6 applications per place across Oxford in the latest cycle (2025). Strong applicants tend to score TMUA 6.5–8.5 on the new 1.0–9.0 scale.

Modelled offer rate9.8%Course base rate 10.3% × college effect 0.95x. From Oxford Undergraduate Admissions Statistics (2025 cycle) + college-level multipliers in our public dataset.
Applications per place
9.6
University average offer rate
10.3%
College multiplier
0.95x
Successful TMUA range
6.5–8.5
Place / application yield
9.5%
Interview-to-offer conversion
33%

How Keble compares

By contrast, Regent's Park Mathematics sits at around 14.4% — 4.6pp higher than Keble. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.

TMUA score to target

For Keble Mathematics, plan for TMUA in the 6.5–8.5 band on the 1.0–9.0 scale. The college applicant pool is broadly representative of the university average.

Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.

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What actually decides the offer

TMUA score is the dominant shortlisting filter. Without ~6.5+ TMUA you are very unlikely to be invited to interview. After interview, ~33% of shortlisted applicants receive an offer.

Common reasons applicants get rejected

  • TMUA below shortlist threshold (~6.5+ predicted post-MAT transition)
  • Not taking Further Maths A-level (94-97% of UK shortlisted applicants do)
  • GCSE profile far below shortlist mean of 8+ at grade 9/8
  • Interview performance failing to demonstrate independent thinking
  • Application from already-saturated college (Worcester, Magdalen) without strong contextual case

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