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Oxford · College Offer Data
Hertford sits among a competitive college for Mathematics at Oxford. Our model puts the Hertford Mathematics offer rate at around 9.3%, about 1.0pp below the Oxford Mathematics average of 10.3%. The course runs at 9.6 applications per place across Oxford in the latest cycle (2025). Strong applicants tend to score TMUA 7.0–8.5 on the new 1.0–9.0 scale.
By contrast, Regent's Park Mathematics sits at around 14.4% — 5.2pp higher than Hertford. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.
For Hertford Mathematics, plan for TMUA in the 7.0–8.5 band on the 1.0–9.0 scale. The college applicant pool is still competitive, sitting in the upper half of the published TMUA range.
Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.
TMUA score is the dominant shortlisting filter. Without ~6.5+ TMUA you are very unlikely to be invited to interview. After interview, ~33% of shortlisted applicants receive an offer.
Add your grades and TMUA to the calculator. Pre-filled for Hertford Mathematics, takes about 60 seconds.
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