Cambridge · College Offer Data

Wolfson Mathematics Offer Rate at Cambridge (2026 Entry)

Wolfson sits among one of the less oversubscribed colleges for Mathematics at Cambridge. Our model puts the Wolfson Mathematics offer rate at around 40.9%, about 11.7pp above the Cambridge Mathematics average of 29.2%. The course runs at 7.1 applications per place across Cambridge in the latest cycle (2024). Strong applicants tend to score TMUA 6.0–7.9 on the new 1.0–9.0 scale. Mature college — applicants must be 21+.

Modelled offer rate40.9%Course base rate 29.2% × college effect 1.40x. From Cambridge Undergraduate Admissions Statistics (2024 cycle) + college-level multipliers in our public dataset.

Applications per place

7.1

University average offer rate

29.2%

College multiplier

1.40x

Successful TMUA range

6.0–7.9

Place / application yield

14.1%

Interview-to-offer conversion

36%

How Wolfson compares

By contrast, Trinity Mathematics sits at around 18.7% — 22.2pp lower than Wolfson. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.

TMUA score to target

For Wolfson Mathematics, plan for TMUA in the 6.0–7.9 band on the 1.0–9.0 scale. The college applicant pool is slightly less competitive, so the lower end of the published range becomes achievable.

Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.

What actually decides the offer

STEP grades are the binding constraint. About 48% of Cambridge Mathematics offer-holders convert to a place — the other half miss STEP 2 or STEP 3. TMUA / ESAT screen for the interview; the offer itself is conditional on STEP 1,1.

Common reasons applicants get rejected

Below A*A*A predicted (or Further Maths not taken where school offers it)
STEP papers not on the timetable — Cambridge will not waive
Personal statement vague rather than mathematical (no engagement with reading, problem-solving, olympiads)
Inability to reason through novel problems live in interview

See your full offer probability

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