Cambridge · College Offer Data

Churchill Engineering Offer Rate at Cambridge (2026 Entry)

Churchill sits among one of the toughest colleges for Engineering at Cambridge. Our model puts the Churchill Engineering offer rate at around 14.7%, about 0.7pp above the Cambridge Engineering average of 14.0%. The course runs at 8.3 applications per place across Cambridge in the latest cycle (2024). STEM-leaning college. Counter-intuitive: Computer Science is one of the WORST CS odds at Cambridge (4.7% in 2022) because it is heavily over-applied.

Modelled offer rate14.7%Course base rate 14.0% × college effect 1.05x. From Cambridge Undergraduate Admissions Statistics (2024 cycle) + college-level multipliers in our public dataset.

Applications per place

8.3

University average offer rate

14.0%

College multiplier

1.05x

Successful TMUA range

n/a

Place / application yield

12.1%

Interview-to-offer conversion

22%

How Churchill compares

By contrast, Murray Edwards Engineering sits at around 21.6% — 6.9pp higher than Churchill. Same course, different applicant pool. If you're flexible on college, the difference compounds with your TMUA and grade profile.

TMUA score to target

Cambridge Engineering uses ESAT, not TMUA, from 2024 entry. Your TMUA score is a secondary signal for this course rather than the gating test.

Our predictor uses the official Cambridge / Oxford college multipliers alongside your TMUA, predicted grades, school type and contextual flag. Drag a slider, watch the percentage change in real time. No email gate.

What actually decides the offer

ESAT (Maths 1, Maths 2, Physics) + interview, no STEP. Q1 POLAR applicants have a 5pp acceptance gap vs Q3-5, larger than for Maths or Economics.

Common reasons applicants get rejected

Low ESAT performance, especially in Maths modules
No Further Maths despite school offering it
Physics weakness — first two years are heavily physics-led
PS focused only on "I want to build robots" without academic grounding

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